techkenyot.com
techkenyot.com January 17, 2019


Hurricane Florence weakens, but still a strong flood threat

14 September 2018, 10:24 | Edward Lowe

Masters said there's a tug-of-war between two clear skies high pressure systems - one off the coast and one over MI - and the more the Great Lakes one wins, the more southerly Florence will be.

Recent forecasts show the likely path of the hurricane and surrounding storm to head southwards after smacking into North Carolina and SC.

Although slow weakening is expected to begin by late Thursday, Florence is still forecast to be an extremely risky major hurricane when it nears the US coast late Thursday and Friday. Elsewhere, in the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states, Florence is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain.

"It truly is really about the whole size of this storm", National Hurricane Center Director Ken Graham said.

Florence was downgraded Wednesday to a Category 3 storm with sustained winds of 120 miles per hour. Favorable wind patterns. Higher sea levels that exacerbate storm surge.

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), reports from An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the center of the eye of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 30.4 North, longitude 71.8 West. Florence is moving toward the northwest near 16 miles per hour (26 km/h) and this general motion, accompanied by a gradual decrease in forward speed, is expected to through Saturday.

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Nathan Deal declared a state of emergency in the state ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Florence, which dipped down in trajectory earlier this week.

While hurricane forecast cones are usually right, National Hurricane Center meteorologist Joel Cline says there is just no way to pinpoint the exact location of landfall with any certainty.

Duke Energy Corp expected between 25 percent and 75 percent of its 4 million customers would lose power in the Carolinas.

More than 80,000 people were already without power as the storm approached, and more than 12,000 were in shelters.

Weather Underground meteorology director Jeff Masters said Florence eventually could strike as a Category 1 with winds less than 100 miles per hour, but that's still enough to cause at least $1 billion in damage.

Gov. Henry McMaster is not yet issuing mandatory evacuation orders for Jasper and Beaufort counties, but officials have not ruled out the possibility of another evacuation order.

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"Disaster is at the doorstep and it's coming in."

"The waves and the wind this storm may bring is nothing like you've ever seen", he warned residents.

The governor wants to avoid a repeat of Hurricane Matthew two years ago, which killed 26 North Carolinians.

First responders around the country are making their way to Wrightsville Beach.

"We could maybe get some outer bands or very, very outer bands of the hurricane", said Jeremy Geiger, a weather service meteorologist.

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