October 16, 2018

Hurricane Center: Caribbean system may slowly develop next week

06 October 2018, 07:43 | Edward Lowe

Tropical Depression could form by late this weekend

Tropical wave could affect western Caribbean

Forecasters said a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week. Along with the unseasonably warm air, dry Saturday and mostly dry with a few showers Sunday. The low, called Invest 91-L for now, has a good chance of developing into our next named tropical system.

But as this area drifts slowly north through the weekend into early next week shear will begin to lessen, and it's possible a tropical depression or weak tropical storm will form.

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The Hurricane Center noted that hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles.

A broad area of low pressure centered near the northeastern coast of Honduras is drifting northwestward and producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity from Central America east-northeastward across the Western Caribbean.

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However, it's worth noting that the Caribbean is usually a favorable location for tropical cyclone origins in October, and historically, when they move into the Gulf of Mexico, more than half of them cross the Florida peninsula.

The Cayman Islands National Weather Service advised that small craft should exercise caution, as seas will be moderate to rough with waves reaching up to 6 feet.

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"Regardless, it still looks like a wet and stormy pattern through at least mid week, and it will be something that will be watched closely over the coming days", meteorologists wrote in their morning forecast.

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